GST: Journey So Far & What Could Be The Future…!!

goods-and-service-tax

Goods and Service Tax – GST would be completing 5 years of its implementation. The Journey of these 5 years has been a roller coaster ride with a few things missing the target others hitting the bulls eye! GST is a complex procedural oriented law with Online Portal complicating the problems. Thus, the life GST has never been a smooth ride.

Let’s understand the GST journey so far with some misses:

1. Complex Procedural Law

GST is a complex procedure-oriented law. If you miss any procedure either your Output Tax Liability with enhanced or your Input Tax Credit will be reduced.

Poor Drafting of GST law complicated the problem as many opinions were possible on each and every issue.

Goods and Service Tax – The government brought more than 1000 Amendments to the Law through Notifications, Circulars, Removal of Difficulty Orders, Press Releases, etc.

This created chaos and to date law never got stability. Plus, Revenue Officers have their own set of interpretations that is always pro-revenue and solutions was far away from the actual problem.

2. Missing GST Tribunal

Goods and Service Tax – As you, all remember GST was launched with fanfare in a midnight session of Parliament. This was called India’s biggest taxation reform in the history of Independent India. But certain basic elements were found missing. One of them is GST Tribunal.

GST Tribunal was proposed of two types under Centre National Bench with Regional bench and under States State Bench along with Area Bench, but nothing has been materialized in these 5 years. Recently 47th GST Council has agreed to refer this matter to GOM’s.

3. Conflicting AAR/AAR Orders

Goods and Service Tax – As you all are aware every State have its own AAR & AAAR, AAR & AAAR were introduced in GST with a sense to reduce complexities, but conflicting Orders have added a new dimension to this.

It is important to note that the rulings of the AAR don’t establish a judicial precedent, but they are persuasive in the assessment process. The rulings, when tested in higher courts, the judgment could give a sense of closure.

4. Linking Input Tax Credit (ITC) with Vendor Returns

GST when proposed have 3 Returns (Statements) for normal taxpayers. GSTR-1, Statement for Outward Supplies, GSTR-2 Statement for Inward Supplies, and GSTR-3 GST Return.

But due to glitches in Portal only GSTR-1 is being filed and instead of GSTR-3, GSTR-3B is filed.

Now the Credit of a taxpayer is linked with Return of his Vendor / Supplier. Thus, a Self-Assessed GST Regime has been converted into a “Vendor-Assessed” ITC.

This has impacted the Cash Flows of the Purchaser because of the Mistake of his Supplier / Vendor.

5. No distinction between the Honest & Dishonest Taxpayers

Goods and Service Tax – In the erstwhile Indirect Tax Regime, the ITC could be disallowed to dishonest taxpayers after a thorough investigation. Whereas in GST, the concept of honesty & dishonesty is removed and eligibility of ITC has become more of data visibility of the GST portal.

Thus, even when there are genuine cases the ITC is disallowed, and the genuine buyer is punished. GST needs to provide this demarcation and a law should be drafted such that only dishonest persons are punished.

6. Section 16(4): The Giant Killer!

Section 16(4) is about the time limit to claim Input Tax Credit (ITC). This is a procedural aspect and the legality of this provision is not in doubt. But everything that is Legal doesn’t mean its result is good.

If Government can relax these provisions for the initial few years that would have helped the business. Also, GST Amnesty was provided without relaxing these provisions and therefore, it couldn’t be said that a true GST Amnesty was provided.

7. GST Amnesty for Revocation of Registrations

Goods and Service Tax – GST when proposed have 3 Returns (Statements) for normal taxpayers. GSTR-1, Statement for Outward Supplies, GSTR-2 Statement for Inward Supplies, and GSTR-3 GST Return. But due to glitches in Portal only GSTR-1 is being filed and instead of GSTR-3, GSTR-3B is filed.

Now the taxpayer’s Credit is linked with Return of his Vendor / Supplier.

Thus, a Self-Assessed GST Regime has been converted into a “Vendor-Assessed” ITC. This has impacted the Cash Flows of the Purchaser because of the Mistake of his Supplier / Vendor.

8. GST Amnesty for Final Return

If one’s GST Registration is canceled, they must file Final Return (Form GSTR-10) providing certain details.

Practically many taxpayers have missed this and now they carry the risk of a penalty for non-filing the same. The government could announce one time amnesty for the same which is needed considering that people have missed this filing in mass.

Goods and Service Tax – Future of GST

Goods and Service Tax – GST was promoted as the biggest tax reform in the taxation history of India and a panacea against all taxation evils. Yes, it still holds merits in all these.

Future of GST is as bright as any other intelligent student who doesn’t study at all. But as a Tax Professional I don’t have a crystal ball to predict the future but could only drew a few signals of what could unleash to us in our future:

A. Automation is the Key

Technology is driving the world crazy, and Taxation Laws are no exception. Automation & Integration would drive the future of GST. I believe GSTR-1 (Statement of Outward Supplies) and GSTR-3B (GST Returns) will be computed & pre-filled automatically in the future with the help of e-Invoice, e-Way Bills, and GSTR-2A/2B.

GST Returns in the Future would be like FASTAGS where we would just be needed to fill a few codes/OTP or give standing instructions to the Banker for payment of Taxes Due and our returns would be filed automatically.

Those who are involved in Compliance Practices would find it hard to sustain their revenues.

B. Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning

Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning is increasing leaps and bound. They are going to play a vital role in GST in future.

Recently concluded 47th GST Council Meeting have given a green signal to this. Relevant extracts from the press release of the meeting:

“The GoM on IT Reforms, inter alia, recommended that the GSTN should put in place the AI/ML based mechanism to verify the antecedents of the registration applicants and an improved risk-based monitoring of their behavior post registration so that non-compliant tax payers could be identified in their infancy and appropriate action be taken so as to minimize risk to exchequer.”

CBIC has already entered into a partnership with M/s IBM for transforming its current Enterprise Data Warehouse (EDW) to a new generation data platform in order to leverage the capabilities of data science and advance analytics for more efficiency.

This project is called ADVAIT (Advanced Analytics in Indirect Taxes). ADVAIT helps in Advanced Data Mining and Data Visualization to generate user friendly reports.

Goods and Service Tax – With the help of high-performance data mining, predictive analysis, risk scoring and text mining it has the capabilities to perform Entity and Fraud related analytics with the goal to reduce fraud and tax leakage. Broadening of tax base is also one of its desired goals.

Text Mining: Text mining helps in extending CTH (Customs Tariff Heading) Granularity beyond 8 digit based on specification like brand, grade, model.

It can also predict Inputs/Finished Goods by analysing HS/CTH Code or Description.

Pattern Recognition: Entity Clustering based on parameters like tax paid, commodities imported, services provided, and goods manufactured.

Detect shifts in Dwell time/Volume /Commodities/Port of Origin/ Ratios. Identification of Structural shifts pre and post notifications.

Predictive Analysis: Based on Risk rules defined by DG-ARM, predicting that an entity is a probable missing / Carousal Trader. Based on analysis of Offence Database Modus Operandi Circular, selection of cases for investigation.

C. Registrations

Getting GST Registrations has become a challenge today because of Fraud and Fake Invoices issued by many. Few of them have been arrested and are behind the bar.

This matter has been discussed in 47th GST Council Meeting and they discussed about the role of AI/ML in registrations and monitoring. (discussed in earlier paragraphs).

Many missed their returns or other compliances and later their registrations are suspended or cancelled.

Revocation of GST Registration has become a new battle ground between Department and Assessee and matters are reaching High Courts.

Goods and Service Tax – We would see growing cases of more and more Writs before High Courts in future related to Registration issues. When Registration is linked with Article 21 of the Constitution i.e. Right to Life and Right to Livehood I feel more and more Court Judgements would come in favour of Assessee.

D. Restrictions on Input Tax Credit

GST was started with Seamless Credit as its soul and for removal of cascading effect. In 5 years journey it seems that GST Department is more concerned about the availability of ITC and they want to be double sure that whatever credit a person is availing is genuine.

But the root cause of contention between GST Department and the Assessee is that GST Laws while disallowing Credits does not distinguish between honest and dishonest taxpayer.

Therefore, the number of cases are increasing daily. Similarly the restrictions on credits is also increasing.

E. Litigations

One of the objectives of implementing GST was to reduce Litigation. GST has so far failed to achieve this goal or objective. The reason for this is Vague and poorly drafted tax legislations, Arbitrary interpretation by the Revenue Officers, Frequent / Retrospective amendments, Confusing clarifications &/or judicial pronouncements.

Goods and Service Tax – Wide scale ‘Tax Frauds’ leading to stringent action which also ends in Litigations. Recently 47th GST Council Meeting has provided few clarifications with respect to taxability of Developed Plots/Land or change in the formula as per Rule 89 and including Input Services in Inverted Duty Structure etc.

Cases with respect to Transition of credit from earlier IDT regime to GST are still going on. I see huge Litigation in Future on aspects of Mixed Supply or Composite Supply and Valuation issue.

Few other areas of Litigations in future that I could visualize are:

  • GST on Supply of Electricity (They have given clarification for refund of ITC on Export of Electricity)
  • GST on Restructuring of Business
  • GST on Liquidated Damages
  • GST on Supplies by Clubs to its members


Conclusion

Future of GST is bright with more and more automation. Litigation would rise to an extent but simplification would be more. Procedural restrictions on ITC could increase. We can say “Achhe Din” of GST are on the way!!!

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